Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

190.52 – 324.04

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

544 – 275

Prediction missed · off by 201.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 657.7 ±8.8

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 61.43Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 119.71Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2635Lake Monsters

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 9.38Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.4 ±10.5

1816"The Green Machine"

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 64.68Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 144.36Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 115Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4766, 1768, 2635

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.5 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4766, 1768, 2635

Auto

24.9 13%

Teleop

134.7 71%

Endgame

31.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1816, 6201, 4655

/ 100 compat

Projected

324 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 1816, 6201, 4655

Auto

61.6 20%

Teleop

198.9 65%

Endgame

45.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score190.5pts

Blue projected score324pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.5
Score range: 116–399
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 819 vs event baseline 416.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

657.7Season APEX564.4

24.9Auto61.6

134.7Teleop198.9

31.2Endgame45.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	64
teleop	282	124
endgame	136	87
foul	15	0
total	544	275

Result

Final score

544 – 275

Prediction missed · off by 201.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.