Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

408.29 – 208.92

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

730 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 232.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 808.1 ±9.3

1756Argos

Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 102Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

449The Blair Robot Project

A+

Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 152.86Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 153.43Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 664.1 ±11.7

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 72.63Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8069Super Hornets

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 33.43Rank 69Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 102.86Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1756, 449, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

408.3 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1756, 449, 484

Auto

72.9 18%

Teleop

232.0 58%

Endgame

92.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4607, 8069, 2582

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.9 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4607, 8069, 2582

Auto

46.1 23%

Teleop

100.1 49%

Endgame

56.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score408.3pts

Blue projected score208.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199.4
Score range: 134–483
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1083 vs event baseline 416.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

808.1Season APEX664.1

72.9Auto46.1

232Teleop100.1

92Endgame56.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	60
teleop	408	174
endgame	206	109
foul	0	10
total	730	353

Result

Final score

730 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 232.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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