Qualification · Qualification 125

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

423.69 – 277.53

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

350 – 394

Prediction missed · off by 95.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 718.5 ±9.9

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 123.78Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 122.52Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3501Firebots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 177.39Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.6 ±9.8

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 200.32Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 72Rank 46Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2635Lake Monsters

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 5.21Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7915, 4607, 3501

/ 100 compat

Projected

423.7 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7915, 4607, 3501

Auto

67.7 16%

Teleop

238.2 57%

Endgame

113.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8159, 6665, 2635

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.5 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 8159, 6665, 2635

Auto

60.4 23%

Teleop

152.6 57%

Endgame

53.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score423.7pts

Blue projected score277.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.2
Score range: 204–498
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 744 vs event baseline 409.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

718.5Season APEX589.6

67.7Auto60.4

238.2Teleop152.6

113.5Endgame53.6

153Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	64
teleop	175	199
endgame	114	61
foul	5	70
total	350	394

Result

Final score

350 – 394

Prediction missed · off by 95.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.