Qualification · Qualification 124
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
410.56 – 662.44
4%96%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
380 – 555
Prediction correct · off by 69 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 745.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 65.79Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 247.32Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 97.45Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 815.7 ±8.7
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 231.09Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 181.05Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 250.3Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6429, 2468, 6911
69
/ 100 compatProjected
410.6 pts
~0.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 6429, 2468, 6911
Auto
72.3 18%
Teleop
233.8 57%
Endgame
101.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 18%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1506, 6528, 4469
87
/ 100 compatProjected
662.4 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 1506, 6528, 4469
Auto
100.6 16%
Teleop
366.2 57%
Endgame
179.7 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 18%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score410.6pts
Blue projected score662.4pts
Red win probability4%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 28%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -251.9
- Score range
- 337–736
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
745.7Season APEX815.7
72.3Auto100.6
233.8Teleop366.2
101.3Endgame179.7
149Consistency131
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 124 |
| teleop | 167 | 260 |
| endgame | 134 | 131 |
| foul | 0 | 40 |
| total | 380 | 555 |
Result
Final score
380 – 555
Prediction correct · off by 69 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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