Qualification · Qualification 123
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
476.88 – 491
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
562 – 417
Prediction missed · off by 79.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 681 ±9.8
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 189.05Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249Event APEX 157.16Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 130.67Rank 39Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 858 ±15.4
Season APEX 241Event APEX 199.02Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 56.35Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 235.63Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1023, 4020, 2556
77
/ 100 compatProjected
476.9 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 1023, 4020, 2556
Auto
102.3 22%
Teleop
248.4 53%
Endgame
113.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 111, 10034, 2231
75
/ 100 compatProjected
491 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 111, 10034, 2231
Auto
88.6 19%
Teleop
276.3 60%
Endgame
94.1 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score476.9pts
Blue projected score491pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -14.1
- Score range
- 404–564
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
681Season APEX858
102.3Auto88.6
248.4Teleop276.3
113.9Endgame94.1
145Consistency132
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 94 | 73 |
| teleop | 311 | 179 |
| endgame | 107 | 160 |
| foul | 50 | 5 |
| total | 562 | 417 |
Result
Final score
562 – 417
Prediction missed · off by 79.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.