Qualification · Qualification 122

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

342.72 – 464.55

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

284 – 591

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 579.5 ±11.6

10980The Deadbolts

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 166.74Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 112.69Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 63.29Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 684.9 ±8.7

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 184.74Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 65.52Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 214.29Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10980, 6985, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.7 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 10980, 6985, 7840

Auto

71.4 20%

Teleop

213.5 61%

Endgame

65.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4322, 11242, 7415

/ 100 compat

Projected

464.6 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 4322, 11242, 7415

Auto

107.5 24%

Teleop

245.6 55%

Endgame

91.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score342.7pts

Blue projected score464.6pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.8
Score range: 270–538
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 875 vs event baseline 407.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

579.5Season APEX684.9

71.4Auto107.5

213.5Teleop245.6

65.4Endgame91.4

144Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	113
teleop	191	370
endgame	44	93
foul	15	15
total	284	591

Result

Final score

284 – 591

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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