Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.25202.25

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

215309

Prediction missed · off by 59.8 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 914.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 265.7Event APEX -Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 442.4Event APEX -Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 206.1Event APEX -Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 627.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 217.7Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 242Event APEX -Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 168.1Event APEX -Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1403, 1690, 4766
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
202.3 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 1403, 1690, 4766
Auto
60.7 30%
Teleop
101.1 50%
Endgame
40.5 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4087, 3544, 7840
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
202.3 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 4087, 3544, 7840
Auto
60.7 30%
Teleop
101.1 50%
Endgame
40.5 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score202.3pts
Blue projected score202.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0
Score range
129275
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 524 vs event baseline 404.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

914.2Season APEX627.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2860
teleop141155
endgame4689
foul05
total215309

Result

Final score

215309

Prediction missed · off by 59.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable

Match videos

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