Qualification · Qualification 113

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

295.43 – 534.59

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

325 – 424

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 544.5 ±10.5

3937Breakaway

Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 201.78Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 119.08Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX -25.43Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 782.5 ±9.8

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 223.34Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 135.38Rank 32Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 175.87Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3937, 4607, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.4 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3937, 4607, 11214

Auto

71.0 24%

Teleop

128.2 43%

Endgame

98.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7415, 3243, 7183

/ 100 compat

Projected

534.6 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7415, 3243, 7183

Auto

105.2 21%

Teleop

300.2 59%

Endgame

105.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score295.4pts

Blue projected score534.6pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -239.2
Score range: 221–609
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 749 vs event baseline 409.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

544.5Season APEX782.5

71Auto105.2

128.2Teleop300.2

98.5Endgame105.9

118Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	72
teleop	167	198
endgame	68	99
foul	0	55
total	325	424

Result

Final score

325 – 424

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.