Qualification · Qualification 112
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
470.23 – 484.56
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
413 – 543
Prediction correct · off by 57.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 659.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 116.13Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 128.93Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 225.17Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 810 ±8.7
Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 243.47Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237Event APEX 130.6Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 110.49Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6985, 7915, 5913
74
/ 100 compatProjected
470.2 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 6985, 7915, 5913
Auto
85.9 18%
Teleop
283.9 60%
Endgame
104.1 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4469, 51, 1403
76
/ 100 compatProjected
484.6 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 4469, 51, 1403
Auto
90.8 18%
Teleop
256.7 51%
Endgame
152.3 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score470.2pts
Blue projected score484.6pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -14.3
- Score range
- 396–559
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
659.6Season APEX810
85.9Auto90.8
283.9Teleop256.7
104.1Endgame152.3
150Consistency136
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 106 |
| teleop | 236 | 260 |
| endgame | 98 | 107 |
| foul | 5 | 70 |
| total | 413 | 543 |
Result
Final score
413 – 543
Prediction correct · off by 57.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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