Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
197.5 – 197.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
580 – 419
Prediction correct · off by 302 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 674.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 188.9Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241Event APEX -Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.3Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 669.7 ±10.8
Season APEX 167Event APEX -Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX -Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX -Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8229, 111, 2054
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.5 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 8229, 111, 2054
Auto
59.2 30%
Teleop
98.8 50%
Endgame
39.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11244, 1768, 6911
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.5 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 11244, 1768, 6911
Auto
59.2 30%
Teleop
98.8 50%
Endgame
39.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score197.5pts
Blue projected score197.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 127–269
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
674.2Season APEX669.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 52 |
| teleop | 339 | 262 |
| endgame | 214 | 105 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 580 | 419 |
Result
Final score
580 – 419
Prediction correct · off by 302 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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