Qualification · Qualification 106

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

211.88 – 457.24

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

229 – 450

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.8 ±12.7

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 63.04Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1816"The Green Machine"

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 76.08Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8069Super Hornets

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 72.76Rank 69Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 650.9 ±9.8

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 94.34Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 193.7Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 169.2Rank 18Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6487, 1816, 8069

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.9 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6487, 1816, 8069

Auto

61.7 30%

Teleop

93.0 45%

Endgame

52.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6911, 2813, 8229

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.2 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 6911, 2813, 8229

Auto

79.4 18%

Teleop

240.8 54%

Endgame

128.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score211.9pts

Blue projected score457.2pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.4
Score range: 138–531
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 679 vs event baseline 410.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.8Season APEX650.9

61.7Auto79.4

93Teleop240.8

52.1Endgame128.5

113Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	75
teleop	133	240
endgame	50	115
foul	15	20
total	229	450

Result

Final score

229 – 450

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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