Qualification · Qualification 102

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

409.95 – 535.8

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

409 – 499

Prediction correct · off by 18.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 698.7 ±9.8

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 181.68Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 73.37Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 154.9Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 891 ±11.2

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 310.45Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 139.8Rank 32Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

931Perpetual Chaos

Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 85.55Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9572, 4087, 4020

/ 100 compat

Projected

410 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9572, 4087, 4020

Auto

87.3 22%

Teleop

175.4 45%

Endgame

129.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7769, 3243, 931

/ 100 compat

Projected

535.8 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7769, 3243, 931

Auto

125.0 23%

Teleop

298.4 55%

Endgame

116.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score410pts

Blue projected score535.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -125.8
Score range: 336–610
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 908 vs event baseline 411.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

698.7Season APEX891

87.3Auto125

175.4Teleop298.4

129.2Endgame116.5

143Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	114
teleop	213	260
endgame	79	120
foul	0	5
total	409	499

Result

Final score

409 – 499

Prediction correct · off by 18.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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