Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

464.98 – 346.95

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

428 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 30 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 684 ±8.8

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 131.6Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 339.25Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3082Chicken Bot Pie

Season APEX 139Event APEX -5.87Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 609.4 ±10.5

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 108.96Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1756Argos

Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 173.75Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 64.24Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7915, 1768, 3082

/ 100 compat

Projected

465 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 7915, 1768, 3082

Auto

60.0 13%

Teleop

261.4 58%

Endgame

128.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6985, 1756, 5181

/ 100 compat

Projected

347 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 6985, 1756, 5181

Auto

79.5 23%

Teleop

186.5 53%

Endgame

87.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score465pts

Blue projected score347pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118
Score range: 273–539
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 798 vs event baseline 412.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

684Season APEX609.4

60Auto79.5

261.4Teleop186.5

128.1Endgame87

144Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	63
teleop	233	210
endgame	126	97
foul	5	0
total	428	370

Result

Final score

428 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 30 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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