Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
195.47 – 195.47
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
334 – 529
Prediction missed · off by 236 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 734.8 ±8.7
Season APEX 195.9Event APEX -Rank 54Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 231.6Event APEX -Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.3Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 641.5 ±9.9
Season APEX 284.3Event APEX -Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 166.8Event APEX -Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 190.4Event APEX -Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 614, 2590, 4469
50
/ 100 compatProjected
195.5 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 614, 2590, 4469
Auto
58.6 30%
Teleop
97.7 50%
Endgame
39.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7415, 6201, 5653
50
/ 100 compatProjected
195.5 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 7415, 6201, 5653
Auto
58.6 30%
Teleop
97.7 50%
Endgame
39.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score195.5pts
Blue projected score195.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 19%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 125–265
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
734.8Season APEX641.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 91 |
| teleop | 159 | 313 |
| endgame | 160 | 75 |
| foul | 0 | 50 |
| total | 334 | 529 |
Result
Final score
334 – 529
Prediction missed · off by 236 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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