PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

444.83 – 63.63

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

408 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612 ±9.3

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 238.5Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 12.91Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 193.42Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.7 ±11

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 33.57Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 18.57Rank 7Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 11.49Rank 22Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 11174, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

444.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 11174, 1771

Auto

95.9 22%

Teleop

266.9 60%

Endgame

82.1 18%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6705, 4509, 5074

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.6 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6705, 4509, 5074

Auto

11.6 19%

Teleop

34.6 56%

Endgame

15.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score444.8pts

Blue projected score63.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 381.2
Score range: 47–462
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 97.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612Season APEX178.7

95.9Auto11.6

266.9Teleop34.6

82.1Endgame15.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	17
teleop	256	54
endgame	46	33
foul	0	0
total	408	104

Result

Final score

408 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 pts

Match videos

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