PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.88 – 17.08

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

77 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.8 ±9.9

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 64.9Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 48.37Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 1.61Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.9 ±11.6

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 1.98Rank 10Record 6-4-2Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 33.71Rank 18Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8815Barnstormers

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -18.61Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 4189, 9561

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 4189, 9561

Auto

27.2 24%

Teleop

58.6 52%

Endgame

26.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9522, 4468, 8815

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9522, 4468, 8815

Auto

10.4 76%

Teleop

-1.2 0%

Endgame

4.5 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.9pts

Blue projected score17.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.8
Score range: -1–133
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 98 vs event baseline 98.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.8Season APEX128.9

27.2Auto10.4

58.6Teleop-1.2

26.7Endgame4.5

0Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	11
teleop	37	7
endgame	3	3
foul	0	0
total	77	21

Result

Final score

77 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.