PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.4 – 41.76

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

169 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.7 ±10.5

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 64.37Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX -1.13Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 46.16Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.4 ±11

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 15.65Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 14.85Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5293Metal Crusaders

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 11.26Rank 19Record 4-5-2Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 8100, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1261, 8100, 1683

Auto

36.2 33%

Teleop

58.6 53%

Endgame

16.0 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6910, 3091, 5293

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6910, 3091, 5293

Auto

11.5 31%

Teleop

16.3 43%

Endgame

9.7 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109.4pts

Blue projected score41.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.6
Score range: 24–127
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 98.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

367.7Season APEX158.4

36.2Auto11.5

58.6Teleop16.3

16Endgame9.7

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	13
teleop	86	21
endgame	24	9
foul	0	0
total	169	43

Result

Final score

169 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Match videos

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