Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
430.89 – 34.26
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
511 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 47.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 612 ±9.3
Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 233.59Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32Event APEX 8.76Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 188.54Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 21.09Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 14.42Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.4Event APEX -1.25Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1833, 11174, 1771
80
/ 100 compatProjected
430.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1833, 11174, 1771
Auto
91.9 21%
Teleop
258.9 60%
Endgame
80.4 19%
Strengths
- · 1833 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3318, 8577, 8865
31
/ 100 compatProjected
34.3 pts
~0.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3318, 8577, 8865
Auto
10.6 30%
Teleop
11.9 33%
Endgame
13.2 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score430.9pts
Blue projected score34.3pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 19%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 396.6
- Score range
- 17–448
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
612Season APEX167.3
91.9Auto10.6
258.9Teleop11.9
80.4Endgame13.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 115 | 12 |
| teleop | 308 | 23 |
| endgame | 88 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 511 | 50 |
Result
Final score
511 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 47.9 pts
Match videos
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