PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.15 – 50.7

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.4 ±9.9

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 60.4Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 7.83Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 44.92Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.4 ±12.2

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 37.6Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX -1.11Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 14.21Rank 22Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 5651, 4189

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 5651, 4189

Auto

32.3 29%

Teleop

57.2 52%

Endgame

20.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6705, 1795, 5074

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6705, 1795, 5074

Auto

9.0 17%

Teleop

29.3 56%

Endgame

13.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.2pts

Blue projected score50.7pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.5
Score range: 33–131
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 100.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.4Season APEX135.4

32.3Auto9

57.2Teleop29.3

20.6Endgame13.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	18
teleop	40	26
endgame	30	30
foul	0	0
total	128	74

Result

Final score

128 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.