PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

438.34 – 128.78

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

282 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 100.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612 ±9.3

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 236.62Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 10.54Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 191.18Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.7 ±10.5

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 69.53Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 6.26Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 52.99Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 11174, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

438.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 11174, 1771

Auto

97.2 22%

Teleop

265.2 60%

Endgame

76.2 17%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1261, 8100, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.8 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1261, 8100, 1683

Auto

45.3 36%

Teleop

64.0 50%

Endgame

17.8 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score438.3pts

Blue projected score128.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 309.6
Score range: 111–456
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 367 vs event baseline 99.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612Season APEX367.7

97.2Auto45.3

265.2Teleop64

76.2Endgame17.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	51
teleop	91	34
endgame	96	0
foul	0	0
total	282	85

Result

Final score

282 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 100.1 pts

Match videos

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