PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

212.83 – 242.55

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

192 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±11.2

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 21.44Rank 23Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 190.67Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX 0.72Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.5 ±10.5

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 231.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 14.86Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX -3.82Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10482, 1771, 1795

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10482, 1771, 1795

Auto

54.3 25%

Teleop

120.1 56%

Endgame

40.4 19%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1833, 6910, 8865

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 6910, 8865

Auto

52.7 22%

Teleop

144.8 59%

Endgame

45.9 19%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.8pts

Blue projected score242.6pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.7
Score range: 196–260
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 466 vs event baseline 94.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387.9Season APEX401.5

54.3Auto52.7

120.1Teleop144.8

40.4Endgame45.9

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	28
teleop	123	154
endgame	9	92
foul	0	0
total	192	274

Result

Final score

192 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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