PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.9 – 63.94

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 158.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.5 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 53.3Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 50.37Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 37.23Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.8 ±11.7

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 39.89Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 9.68Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 14.37Rank 24Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 1261, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 1261, 1683

Auto

39.5 28%

Teleop

77.7 56%

Endgame

21.8 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4189, 3318, 9057

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4189, 3318, 9057

Auto

21.3 33%

Teleop

22.7 35%

Endgame

20.0 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.9pts

Blue projected score63.9pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77
Score range: 47–158
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 92.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.5Season APEX290.8

39.5Auto21.3

77.7Teleop22.7

21.8Endgame20

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	46
teleop	174	85
endgame	63	61
foul	0	15
total	314	207

Result

Final score

314 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 158.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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