PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.51 – 17.39

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.2 ±10.5

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 190.88Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5293Metal Crusaders

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 12.84Rank 19Record 4-5-2Status establishedConfidence 97

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 14.79Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 102.4 ±12.2

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX 2.38Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 9.62Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 5.39Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1771, 5293, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1771, 5293, 6910

Auto

60.4 28%

Teleop

121.5 56%

Endgame

35.4 16%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1795, 5651, 11174

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.4 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1795, 5651, 11174

Auto

4.7 23%

Teleop

16.7 82%

Endgame

-1.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score218.5pts

Blue projected score17.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.1
Score range: 0–236
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 91.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.2Season APEX102.4

60.4Auto4.7

121.5Teleop16.7

35.4Endgame-1.1

30Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	12
teleop	139	1
endgame	45	0
foul	0	0
total	249	13

Result

Final score

249 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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