PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

301.88 – 49.57

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

294 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.9 ±10.5

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 33.22Rank 18Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 33.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 235.08Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.8 ±12.2

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 7.18Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 29.29Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 13.1Rank 24Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4468, 5109, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4468, 5109, 1833

Auto

60.6 20%

Teleop

177.2 59%

Endgame

63.5 21%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9561, 6705, 9057

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.6 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9561, 6705, 9057

Auto

15.0 30%

Teleop

21.5 43%

Endgame

13.3 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score301.9pts

Blue projected score49.6pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 252.3
Score range: 34–318
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 91.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.9Season APEX168.8

60.6Auto15

177.2Teleop21.5

63.5Endgame13.3

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	6
teleop	170	25
endgame	57	29
foul	0	5
total	294	65

Result

Final score

294 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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