PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.81 – 68.62

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 9.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±11.1

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 9.59Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX -11.94Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 235.16Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.8 ±9.8

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 13.4Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 3.99Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 51.23Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5651, 7538, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5651, 7538, 1833

Auto

47.5 21%

Teleop

141.0 61%

Endgame

41.6 18%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6910, 11174, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6910, 11174, 1648

Auto

16.3 23%

Teleop

45.0 65%

Endgame

8.1 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.8pts

Blue projected score68.6pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 164.2
Score range: 53–249
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 90.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.5Season APEX218.8

47.5Auto16.3

141Teleop45

41.6Endgame8.1

46Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	20
teleop	163	34
endgame	16	32
foul	0	0
total	235	86

Result

Final score

235 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 9.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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