PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.62 – 48.62

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.9 ±11

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 15.09Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 54.28Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 11.25Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.6 ±11

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX -3.07Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 35.7Rank 18Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 15.99Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3091, 1683, 5651

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 1683, 5651

Auto

25.8 34%

Teleop

41.0 54%

Endgame

9.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11174, 4468, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11174, 4468, 8577

Auto

11.5 23%

Teleop

23.2 46%

Endgame

16.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.6pts

Blue projected score48.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32
Score range: 30–100
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 115 vs event baseline 105.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.9Season APEX146.6

25.8Auto11.5

41Teleop23.2

9Endgame16.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	0
teleop	57	12
endgame	24	10
foul	5	0
total	93	22

Result

Final score

93 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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