PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

5.24 – 63.13

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 112.6 ±12.7

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX -2.52Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX -1.15Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 8.91Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.6 ±10.5

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 41.4Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 17.98Rank 23Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5293Metal Crusaders

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 3.75Rank 19Record 4-5-2Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8100, 1795, 3318

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8100, 1795, 3318

Auto

7.3 69%

Teleop

3.5 33%

Endgame

-0.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1261, 10482, 5293

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1261, 10482, 5293

Auto

23.6 37%

Teleop

34.4 54%

Endgame

5.7 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score5.2pts

Blue projected score63.1pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.9
Score range: -11–79
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 90.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

112.6Season APEX347.6

7.3Auto23.6

3.5Teleop34.4

-0.2Endgame5.7

0Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	35
teleop	12	86
endgame	6	31
foul	0	5
total	33	157

Result

Final score

33 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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