PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.77 – 77.67

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 57 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.3 ±11.6

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 3.76Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 27.54Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX -2.53Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±11.7

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 14.89Rank 29Record 2-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 34.36Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 28.42Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9561, 6340, 8865

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9561, 6340, 8865

Auto

12.9 59%

Teleop

6.4 29%

Endgame

2.5 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2415, 1683, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2415, 1683, 8577

Auto

16.6 22%

Teleop

41.7 54%

Endgame

18.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.8pts

Blue projected score77.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.9
Score range: 13–94
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 105 vs event baseline 91.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.3Season APEX184.3

12.9Auto16.6

6.4Teleop41.7

2.5Endgame18.6

53Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	16
teleop	44	3
endgame	22	1
foul	0	0
total	85	20

Result

Final score

85 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 57 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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