PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.13 – 199.24

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.6 ±10.5

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 38.98Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8815Barnstormers

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -15.64Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 20.79Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.9 ±10.5

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 4.74Rank 22Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 19.42Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 175.08Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4189, 8815, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4189, 8815, 3091

Auto

12.4 32%

Teleop

6.4 17%

Endgame

19.4 51%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5074, 6705, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5074, 6705, 1771

Auto

60.5 30%

Teleop

111.1 55%

Endgame

29.8 15%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.1pts

Blue projected score199.2pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -155.1
Score range: 28–215
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 89.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.6Season APEX385.9

12.4Auto60.5

6.4Teleop111.1

19.4Endgame29.8

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	56
teleop	17	180
endgame	16	96
foul	0	0
total	47	332

Result

Final score

47 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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