Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
177.63 – 48.17
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
406 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 119.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 150.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 12Rank 18Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 14.92Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 84.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 18.36Rank 29Record 2-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 12.44Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 17.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1771, 4468, 4189
80
/ 100 compatProjected
177.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1771, 4468, 4189
Auto
51.4 29%
Teleop
100.6 57%
Endgame
25.0 14%
Strengths
- · 1771 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2415, 4701, 5651
41
/ 100 compatProjected
48.2 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2415, 4701, 5651
Auto
16.9 37%
Teleop
19.6 43%
Endgame
8.8 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score177.6pts
Blue projected score48.2pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 13%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 129.5
- Score range
- 33–193
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
532.6Season APEX84.5
51.4Auto16.9
100.6Teleop19.6
25Endgame8.8
21Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 106 | 16 |
| teleop | 192 | 21 |
| endgame | 108 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 406 | 58 |
Result
Final score
406 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 119.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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