PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.69 – 39.69

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

95 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.6 ±9.8

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 41.89Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 31.38Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 19.42Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.9 ±11.6

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 7.29Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 1.71Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 30.69Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 8577, 6705

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1261, 8577, 6705

Auto

29.8 31%

Teleop

47.4 50%

Endgame

17.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3318, 8865, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3318, 8865, 5109

Auto

15.3 37%

Teleop

17.3 42%

Endgame

8.3 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.7pts

Blue projected score39.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53
Score range: 24–109
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 87.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.6Season APEX166.9

29.8Auto15.3

47.4Teleop17.3

17.9Endgame8.3

32Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	22
teleop	47	26
endgame	25	15
foul	0	0
total	95	63

Result

Final score

95 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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