PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

230.52 – 113.28

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

164 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 33.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.3 ±10.5

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 53.28Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 161.33Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 15.91Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.4 ±9.8

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 31.08Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 33.85Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 48.35Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1683, 1771, 3318

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1683, 1771, 3318

Auto

58.0 25%

Teleop

141.2 60%

Endgame

35.5 15%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 8577, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5109, 8577, 1648

Auto

26.4 23%

Teleop

68.5 60%

Endgame

19.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score230.5pts

Blue projected score113.3pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.2
Score range: 98–246
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 85.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.3Season APEX276.4

58Auto26.4

141.2Teleop68.5

35.5Endgame19.9

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	10
teleop	85	64
endgame	13	38
foul	5	0
total	164	112

Result

Final score

164 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 33.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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