PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.01 – 56.6

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

61 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 11.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 182.8 ±10.4

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 7.96Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 13.88Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 26.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±11

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 10.69Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 19.72Rank 23Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 26.19Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11174, 3091, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

48 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11174, 3091, 5109

Auto

4.4 11%

Teleop

22.4 57%

Endgame

12.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6910, 10482, 3318

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6910, 10482, 3318

Auto

8.1 13%

Teleop

27.9 46%

Endgame

24.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48pts

Blue projected score56.6pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.6
Score range: 33–72
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 108 vs event baseline 83.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

182.8Season APEX181.4

4.4Auto8.1

22.4Teleop27.9

12.8Endgame24.3

0Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	24
teleop	32	15
endgame	16	8
foul	0	0
total	61	47

Result

Final score

61 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 11.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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