PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.72 – 19.06

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

83 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.9 ±10.5

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 4.13Rank 10Record 6-4-2Status establishedConfidence 100

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 22.11Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 67.48Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.9 ±12.7

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX 1.17Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 11.79Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 6.1Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9522, 3318, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9522, 3318, 1648

Auto

26.3 30%

Teleop

44.8 51%

Endgame

16.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1795, 4701, 9561

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1795, 4701, 9561

Auto

9.1 46%

Teleop

7.9 40%

Endgame

2.7 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.7pts

Blue projected score19.1pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.7
Score range: 0–113
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 105.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.9Season APEX103.9

26.3Auto9.1

44.8Teleop7.9

16.1Endgame2.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	6
teleop	63	7
endgame	2	0
foul	0	0
total	83	13

Result

Final score

83 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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