PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.2 – 0

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

52 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.8 ±11.7

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 20.04Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 18.41Rank 10Record 6-4-2Status establishedConfidence 100

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX 25.75Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.5 ±12.7

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX -4.37Rank 29Record 2-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX -19.51Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8815Barnstormers

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -27.87Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8577, 9522, 1795

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8577, 9522, 1795

Auto

13.9 25%

Teleop

38.3 68%

Endgame

4.5 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2415, 9561, 8815

/ 100 compat

Projected

-51.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2415, 9561, 8815

Auto

5.7 0%

Teleop

-36.3 62%

Endgame

-27.8 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.2pts

Blue projected score-51.7pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.2
Score range: -15–79
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 81.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.8Season APEX113.5

13.9Auto5.7

38.3Teleop-36.3

4.5Endgame-27.8

0Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	9
teleop	24	6
endgame	20	5
foul	0	0
total	52	20

Result

Final score

52 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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