PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.9 – 159.47

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.6 ±10.4

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 29.69Rank 7Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 40.91Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 0.3Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.6 ±10.5

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 8.16Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 25.6Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 125.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4509, 6340, 6705

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4509, 6340, 6705

Auto

20.9 33%

Teleop

32.3 51%

Endgame

9.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8577, 5651, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8577, 5651, 1771

Auto

34.5 21%

Teleop

95.0 58%

Endgame

35.3 21%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.9pts

Blue projected score159.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.6
Score range: 57–173
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 75.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.6Season APEX389.6

20.9Auto34.5

32.3Teleop95

9.8Endgame35.3

130Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	68
teleop	31	120
endgame	32	12
foul	0	0
total	81	200

Result

Final score

81 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.