PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

7.95 – 0

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

15 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 90.4 ±12.2

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 6.87Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 2.68Rank 29Record 2-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX -1.6Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.8 ±12.2

8815Barnstormers

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -28.84Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -5.05Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX 10.08Rank 30Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11174, 2415, 8100

/ 100 compat

Projected

8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11174, 2415, 8100

Auto

13.0 100%

Teleop

7.8 64%

Endgame

-8.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8815, 5109, 1795

/ 100 compat

Projected

-23.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8815, 5109, 1795

Auto

3.8 0%

Teleop

-14.9 59%

Endgame

-14.3 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score8pts

Blue projected score-23.8pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8
Score range: -14–22
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 70 vs event baseline 77.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

90.4Season APEX129.8

13Auto3.8

7.8Teleop-14.9

-8.7Endgame-14.3

62Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	12
teleop	9	34
endgame	0	9
foul	0	0
total	15	55

Result

Final score

15 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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