Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
224.77 – 79.98
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
285 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 382 ±10.5
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 14.85Rank 10Record 6-4-2Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 205.34Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31Event APEX 4.58Rank 22Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 34.49Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 3.53Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 41.96Rank 23Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9522, 1833, 5074
82
/ 100 compatProjected
224.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9522, 1833, 5074
Auto
48.2 23%
Teleop
120.7 56%
Endgame
45.0 21%
Strengths
- · 1833 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1648, 3091, 10482
69
/ 100 compatProjected
80 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1648, 3091, 10482
Auto
17.5 25%
Teleop
44.5 63%
Endgame
8.5 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score224.8pts
Blue projected score80pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 144.8
- Score range
- 67–238
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
382Season APEX307.7
48.2Auto17.5
120.7Teleop44.5
45Endgame8.5
85Consistency131
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 13 |
| teleop | 173 | 20 |
| endgame | 48 | 12 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 285 | 50 |
Result
Final score
285 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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