PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 39.56

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.5 ±11

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX -15.65Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -12.07Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 19Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.7 ±10.4

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 0.8Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 1.74Rank 10Record 6-4-2Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 37.02Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6705, 5109, 5651

/ 100 compat

Projected

-8.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6705, 5109, 5651

Auto

5.3 0%

Teleop

-15.8 100%

Endgame

1.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3091, 9522, 6340

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 9522, 6340

Auto

7.9 22%

Teleop

33.6 94%

Endgame

-5.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-8.7pts

Blue projected score39.6pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.6
Score range: -13–53
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 74.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.5Season APEX211.7

5.3Auto7.9

-15.8Teleop33.6

1Endgame-5.6

138Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	18
teleop	27	10
endgame	8	12
foul	0	45
total	55	85

Result

Final score

55 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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