PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

104.68 – 11.95

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

38 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±9.8

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 37.74Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 49.15Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 17.79Rank 23Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 93.4 ±12.2

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 3.32Rank 29Record 2-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 15.8Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX -7.17Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6705, 4189, 10482

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6705, 4189, 10482

Auto

21.1 20%

Teleop

51.4 49%

Endgame

31.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2415, 6910, 7538

/ 100 compat

Projected

12 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2415, 6910, 7538

Auto

7.6 64%

Teleop

-0.2 0%

Endgame

4.5 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104.7pts

Blue projected score12pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.7
Score range: -7–124
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 62 vs event baseline 105.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.8Season APEX93.4

21.1Auto7.6

51.4Teleop-0.2

31.7Endgame4.5

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	15
teleop	15	2
endgame	14	2
foul	0	5
total	38	24

Result

Final score

38 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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