PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.62 – 228.98

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 498

Prediction correct · off by 158.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.7 ±11

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 32.6Rank 23Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 1.63Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX -12.61Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 612.2 ±10.7

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -6.35Rank 24Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 158.47Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 76.86Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10482, 8577, 7538

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.6 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10482, 8577, 7538

Auto

5.3 27%

Teleop

4.2 21%

Endgame

10.2 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9057, 1833, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

229 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9057, 1833, 1771

Auto

63.7 28%

Teleop

137.7 60%

Endgame

27.1 12%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.34 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.6pts

Blue projected score229pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -207.4
Score range: 11–240
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 568 vs event baseline 62.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.7Season APEX612.2

5.3Auto63.7

4.2Teleop137.7

10.2Endgame27.1

199Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	102
teleop	41	280
endgame	17	116
foul	0	0
total	70	498

Result

Final score

70 – 498

Prediction correct · off by 158.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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