PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.57 – 45.59

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

38 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307 ±11.1

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 46.53Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 8.53Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 9.51Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.5 ±12.1

3318RoboDragons

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 13.04Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 41.93Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX -9.38Rank 18Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4189, 8100, 9561

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4189, 8100, 9561

Auto

26.9 40%

Teleop

31.0 46%

Endgame

9.2 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3318, 8865, 4468

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3318, 8865, 4468

Auto

13.0 28%

Teleop

24.3 52%

Endgame

9.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.6pts

Blue projected score45.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19
Score range: 34–77
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 63 vs event baseline 65.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307Season APEX144.5

26.9Auto13

31Teleop24.3

9.2Endgame9.7

0Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	16
teleop	25	7
endgame	4	2
foul	0	0
total	38	25

Result

Final score

38 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.