PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.48 – 84.45

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

13 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.3 ±12.2

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 2.93Rank 24Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 12.05Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 50.5Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.5 ±11

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 28.9Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 31.59Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 23.96Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9057, 8577, 8865

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9057, 8577, 8865

Auto

19.7 31%

Teleop

41.0 64%

Endgame

3.5 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3091, 8100, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3091, 8100, 6910

Auto

19.9 25%

Teleop

47.5 59%

Endgame

12.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.5pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19
Score range: 52–97
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 33 vs event baseline 72.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.3Season APEX168.5

19.7Auto19.9

41Teleop47.5

3.5Endgame12.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	12
teleop	3	6
endgame	1	2
foul	0	0
total	13	20

Result

Final score

13 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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