PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

412.81 – 118.91

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 90 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612 ±9.3

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 227.74Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 2.2Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 182.87Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.8 ±9.9

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 66.54Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 47.96Rank 8Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 4.41Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 11174, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 11174, 1771

Auto

97.8 24%

Teleop

235.6 57%

Endgame

79.1 19%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 4189, 9561

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.9 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 4189, 9561

Auto

33.2 29%

Teleop

57.0 50%

Endgame

24.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score412.8pts

Blue projected score118.9pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 293.9
Score range: 100–432
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 103.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612Season APEX407.8

97.8Auto33.2

235.6Teleop57

79.1Endgame24.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	31
teleop	157	75
endgame	67	46
foul	0	0
total	266	152

Result

Final score

266 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 90 pts

Match videos

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