PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

415.87 – 75.59

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

393 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612 ±9.3

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 228.83Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 3.26Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 183.78Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242 ±11.1

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 64.9Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 8.26Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 2.43Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 11174, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 11174, 1771

Auto

96.6 23%

Teleop

241.0 58%

Endgame

78.5 19%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 5651, 9561

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.6 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 5651, 9561

Auto

24.3 33%

Teleop

40.7 55%

Endgame

8.4 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score415.9pts

Blue projected score75.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 340.3
Score range: 58–434
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 505 vs event baseline 101.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612Season APEX242

96.6Auto24.3

241Teleop40.7

78.5Endgame8.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	108	42
teleop	197	48
endgame	83	12
foul	5	10
total	393	112

Result

Final score

393 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Match videos

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