PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

382.11 – 63.13

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 86.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.7 ±9.8

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 93.49Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 22.37Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 266.25Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.3 ±11.7

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 27.36Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 23.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6712Mountaineers

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 12.04Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1683, 3815, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

382.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1683, 3815, 1833

Auto

64.4 17%

Teleop

219.1 58%

Endgame

95.5 25%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3344, 6705, 6712

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3344, 6705, 6712

Auto

20.8 35%

Teleop

27.1 45%

Endgame

12.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score382.1pts

Blue projected score63.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 319
Score range: 42–403
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 116.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.7Season APEX157.3

64.4Auto20.8

219.1Teleop27.1

95.5Endgame12

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	17
teleop	128	56
endgame	33	50
foul	5	0
total	269	123

Result

Final score

269 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 86.5 pts

Match videos

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