Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
55.81 – 51.34
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
57 – 55
Prediction correct · off by 2.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.1 ±12.8
Season APEX 38Event APEX 21.88Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 39.32Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -5.39Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±11
Season APEX 58Event APEX 11.6Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32Event APEX 24.51Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 15.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8761, 8577, 4459
37
/ 100 compatProjected
55.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8761, 8577, 4459
Auto
21.4 40%
Teleop
20.4 38%
Endgame
11.9 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9561, 11174, 9522
36
/ 100 compatProjected
51.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9561, 11174, 9522
Auto
10.3 20%
Teleop
21.7 43%
Endgame
19.0 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score55.8pts
Blue projected score51.3pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 4.5
- Score range
- 30–77
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.1Season APEX137.3
21.4Auto10.3
20.4Teleop21.7
11.9Endgame19
1Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 18 |
| teleop | 39 | 26 |
| endgame | 7 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 57 | 55 |
Result
Final score
57 – 55
Prediction correct · off by 2.4 pts
Match videos
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