Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
0.01 – 0
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
52 – 61
Prediction missed · off by 56.5 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 93.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 38Event APEX 26.3Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -21.43Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 27.1Event APEX -4.86Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 18.7Event APEX -21.43Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32Event APEX -4.86Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58Event APEX -6.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8761, 4459, 9086
8
/ 100 compatProjected
0 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8761, 4459, 9086
Auto
12.1 0%
Teleop
-25.1 100%
Endgame
7.6 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8849, 11174, 9561
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-32.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8849, 11174, 9561
Auto
8.9 0%
Teleop
-41.5 100%
Endgame
0.0 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score0pts
Blue projected score-32.5pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- -18–18
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
93.5Season APEX108.7
12.1Auto8.9
-25.1Teleop-41.5
7.6Endgame0
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 14 |
| teleop | 14 | 23 |
| endgame | 21 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 52 | 61 |
Result
Final score
52 – 61
Prediction missed · off by 56.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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