PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

60.86 – 15.66

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

402 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 174.2 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.2 ±9.3

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 16Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 12.29Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 32.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130.2 ±12.2

8815Barnstormers

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 3.4Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 12.29Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX -0.03Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 4509, 4189

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 4509, 4189

Auto

15.1 25%

Teleop

30.6 50%

Endgame

15.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8815, 8577, 1795

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8815, 8577, 1795

Auto

5.3 34%

Teleop

11.3 72%

Endgame

-1.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.9pts

Blue projected score15.7pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.2
Score range: 1–76
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 81.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.2Season APEX130.2

15.1Auto5.3

30.6Teleop11.3

15.2Endgame-1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	6
teleop	297	12
endgame	58	5
foul	0	0
total	402	23

Result

Final score

402 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 174.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.