Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
87.74 – 54.86
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
91 – 136
Prediction missed · off by 42.2 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 27.99Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 34.45Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 25.3Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 12.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 33.71Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 8.86Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5293, 10482, 3318
77
/ 100 compatProjected
87.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5293, 10482, 3318
Auto
19.4 23%
Teleop
44.2 53%
Endgame
19.4 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5219, 1683, 3344
58
/ 100 compatProjected
54.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5219, 1683, 3344
Auto
12.1 22%
Teleop
31.1 57%
Endgame
11.2 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score87.7pts
Blue projected score54.9pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 32.9
- Score range
- 41–102
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.5Season APEX207.3
19.4Auto12.1
44.2Teleop31.1
19.4Endgame11.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 18 |
| teleop | 49 | 72 |
| endgame | 18 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 136 |
Result
Final score
91 – 136
Prediction missed · off by 42.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.